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2024-12-14 04:56:07

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges related to GM Cruise in the second fiscal quarter, and Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges in the second fiscal quarter, which is related to the company's minority equity investment in GM Cruise. This will have a negative impact of about 9 cents on Microsoft's earnings per share in the second quarter.


Somali President Mohamed: We are willing to cooperate with Ethiopian leaders and people and make full use of our opportunities in all aspects.The FTSE A50 index closed down 0.01% at 13,475 points in a row.Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency: After using the Hazelnut missile, NATO is worried that the "aggression" against Russia will become the basis for Russia to make a decisive response.


According to informed sources, Stada Arzneimittel AG, a pharmaceutical company focusing on consumer health care, sounded out investors' interest before the German IPO. The company may raise about 1.5 billion euros ($1.6 billion) through an IPO.The FTSE A50 index closed down 0.01% at 13,475 points in a row.CSI A500ETF ushered in the first dividend-paying product. On December 11th, ICBC Credit Suisse Fund announced that ICBC CSI A500ETF planned to pay dividends and became the first dividend-paying CSI A500ETF. In fact, in the current low-rate background, the dividend mechanism has gradually become a differentiated selling point of popular ETFs. Among the 22 CSI A 500 ETFs in the first batch and the second batch, 4 products have a mandatory dividend mechanism, and the dividend ratio is not less than 60%. The dividend ratio of individual products can reach 80%, and the monthly dividend frequency is set for CSI A 500 ETFs. According to the analysis of public offering, under the guidance and encouragement of policies, the dividend mechanism of A-share listed companies has been continuously improved, and the dividend level has been continuously improved. Leading enterprises in the industry often have stronger willingness to pay dividends because of their stronger profitability and anti-risk ability. ETF products meet the liquidity needs of investors through dividends, which is conducive to improving the investment experience. (Securities Times)

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